Greetings Cheap-Heaters! Welcome to a very special Independence Day Edition of the Over/Under. I'm grilling burgers, dogs, and chicken breasts. There are brew-dogs in the cooler. We got all the chips, salads, and desserts one would expect for this. Oh, and WWE will be providing the fireworks. (BOOM! I nailed that opening!)
Couple things make this "WWE Live" aka house show in Tokyo very special. The NXT Championship will be on the line, and I'm guessing that match will main event. Brock Lesnar will be wrestling… which as we all know is NOT a common occurrence. Especially since, IF he wrestles at Summerslam? He'll have three matches in 6-7 weeks. (Depending on WHAT his contract is now? We might not see him again until Mania… or 2017.) There is also a Chris Jericho vs. Neville match which should be special, as Jericho doesn't wrestle on WWE TV anymore. The undercard really does look like a house show. Still? Some goodness to be found in those matches. Lets go!
The Lucha Dragons vs. The New Day
OVERVIEW!
These two at least have some history. The last few shows they have been involved in 8 man tag matches. With the New Day + Bo facing off against the Prime Time Players and Lucha Dragons. This should be a fun fast paced opener. Be interesting to see how much the Japanese crowd plays into "New… Day-Sucks", if at all.
Favorite(s)
:
Lucha Dragons -200. Vegas has some issues handicapping a Live Event. New Day have been on a losing streak. So that to me makes the Dragons a slight favorite.
Underdog(s)
:
New Day +100. Slight dogs here. Can easily see a win by WWE's Positively Powered Peeps. We can assume it'll be Big E and Woods. Wonder if Bo ends up being around… which brings me TO?
Prop Bet O' The Match!
Bo Dallas Ringside? Yes -250. Oh, hell Bo! +300.
(see what I did there?)
Cesaro vs. Diego
OVERVIEW!
Cesaro is awesome. He should be on every card ever for all time and forever. Right Cesaro?
Ex. Act. LY! No story behind this. Cesaro gets on the card. Has fun. Clobbers Diego. Japan rejoices, or at least… Your humble handicapper rejoices! CE!SAR!O!CE!SAR!O!CE!SAR!O!CE!SAR!O!CE!SAR!O!CE!SAR!O!
Favorite(s)
:
Cesaro -700. C'mon. Its actually down from -1500… After Cesaro's run in with the "Video Dump" button for his double ring finger salute to Cena
(See: Above)
– Money came in on Diego. Still. That should NOT be punishment worthy. And if Cesaro loses I might break my Xbox. And Cry.
Underdog(s)
:
Diego +800. Like… just… outside of Cesaro being in some sort of Doghouse would there be ANY inkling that Diego should win here? Yeah. Not gonna happen…
(Crosses fingers)
Prop Bets O' The Match!
Over/Under: 15.5 consecutive rotations on a spin. He hasn't gotten much over ten recently before locking in a Sharpshooter.
Will I need a new Xbox? No: -1000. Yes: +500.
Paige vs. Naomi vs. Divas Champion Nikki Bella
OVERVIEW!
A rematch from Elimination Chamber. Nikki Bella continues her epic title run, now second all time. Paige is currently trying to wage a one woman war on the Bella Army. Even though Naomi is NOT "Team Bella", she is not about to side with Paige.
Favorite
:
Nikki Bella -500. Continues to roll up the days of this title reign. Not the time for this to go down.
Underdog(s)
:
Paige +200. Might be the woman to dethrone Nikki
(But I think it'll be an NXTer moving up who does it)
, but it WON'T be here.
Naomi +400. Lost a lot of momentum. The heel turn out of no where didn't help. The booking of the division doesn't help.
Prop Bets O' The Match!
Will I go get a bowl of Cereal during this match? Yes -300. No +250. It'll be an omelette +1400.
John Cena and Dolph Ziggler vs. King Barrett and Kane
OVERVIEW!
OVERVIEW? Of WHAT?! No parties involved in this match are currently feuding, or involved with one another… So… Here's what happened. On the flight to Japan Kane stole Ziggler's pretzels while Dolph was in the can… lets say with Lana (#MileHighClub) – Cena caught the Big Red Thief and got all up in his grill. King Barrett made the royal decree that if a passenger's in flight snackage were left unattended for longer than five minutes, then those snacks were then free to be claimed by anyone in the realm. Cena was all "NUH UH!". Kane said "I'm THE DIRECTOR OF OPERATIONS, and Steph and Hunter said I can have as many in flight snacks as I want, and I want Dolph's Pretzels!!" At this point Dolph returned from the bathroom with rather large grin on his face. All eyes on him and the Ravishing Russian caused Lana to blush and run back to her seat. Dolph saw his pretzels in the clutches of Kane, and super kicked Kane… Barrett then hit Ziggler with a Bull Hammer, and before Cena could AA Kane, an Air Marshall pulled a gun on the foursome and told them to settle it in the ring! Boom. We got a match!
Favorite
:
Ziggler and Cena -900. LOLCENA WINS! Really no reason for Kane and Barrett to win here, PLUS. At least Cena and Ziggler have some kind of history. Ziggler won it for Team Cena against the Authority at Survivor Series
(Remember THAT?!)
Underdog(s)
:
Barrett and Kane +1200. Plus, no reason for Barrett and Kane to win this one. That'd just be silly.
Prop Bets O' The Match!
Lets Go Cena/Cena Sucks Happens: No -350. Yes +250.
Neville vs. Chris Jericho
OVERVIEW!
Much like the previous match? There is no TELEVISED storyline surrounding this match. But to assume there is not a reason Jericho and Neville are fighting? Is so wrong. Months ago Neville appeared on Jericho's podcast. Things went swimmingly. They had a great interview UNTIL, they talked about upper body accessories for Wrestling Entrances. Jericho was firmly in "Team Light Bright Leather Jacket", and Neville was all about "Capes". It got HEATED. The podcast cut off after Jericho shoved Neville when Neville claimed "Who ruins a perfectly good jacket with dumbass LEDs?"
So now, months later the war to settle the score. Cape vs. Light Bright Jacket. There is also an undercurrent of "Most nicknamed wrestler" going on here. Y2J. Man that Gravity forgot. Ayatollah of Rock and Rollah. The New Sensation. The Highlight Reel. The Altitude Generation… etcetera… etcetera… etcetera… Jericho has a slight edge in the nickname department, but Nevill has only been in the WWE, on the main roster, for a few months!
Favorite
:
Neville: -400. Jericho is a put over machine these days. He is the reverse Rock/Brock, in that he ONLY does Live Events
(Though with Lesnar's appearance on this show and Rock showing up at a Boston House Show last week, we might have to reclassify that.)
– I think Neville wins in a sleeper for Match of the Night.
Underdog(s)
:
Jericho: +200. He loves to perform for live crowds without dealing with the storylines and writers. He is probably going to lose.
Prop Bets O' The Match!
Will Gravity Remember? Yes: -250. No: +110.
Brock Lesnar vs. Kofi Kingston
OVERVIEW!
Much like the previous TWO matches? There is still no TELEVISED storyline surrounding this match. But its a pretty damn big deal for Lesnar to be doing a live event. This along with the NXT Championship match are the two reasons this show is going to be on the WWE Network.
Favorite
:
BuuuuhhhROCK LESNAR: -4400. Yeah this is going to be a demolition. Kofi gonna get GOT. Suplex City comes to Tokyo. Kofi gets to visit. He may never been seen or heard from again.
Underdog(s)
:
Kofi: +infinity-billion-eleventy-one.
Prop Bets O' The Match!
Over/Under Suplexes: 11.5
Over/Under Match Time: 6 minutes 47 seconds.
OVERVIEW!
At the last Takeover Balor channeled his inner Demon and defeated Tyler Breeze to be the #1 contender to the NXT Championship. Since his debut, Kevin Owens has been a beast. He's run roughshod over NXT. He's been insanely impressive on the main roster. This will be the duo's second matchup for the NXT Championship.
Finn Balor returns to Japan, where he made his name and got the interest of the WWE. As a founding member of the Bullet Club, he was wildly successful with New Japan Pro Wrestling. For a much better background on Balor check out the NXT special Finn Balor: "The Demon Revealed" This will be the first time that Balor is "Painted Up" challenging for the NXT Championship.
(Writer's Note: No idea if this main events… and I can't imagine it does, but its the match that has the most story behind it. BTW, looking for that image above I saw a story speculating that the Cena tag match would close the show. HAHAHAHAHAHA… that'd be hilarious. I feel like it'll be Lesnar.)
Favorite
:
Finn Balor: -110. Lot of writing on the wall here. The great documentary. Owens seems destined for a full time main roster spot. A big "home-ish field advantage" for Balor.
Underdog(s)
:
Kevin Owens: +100. He's got a huge title match with John Cena coming up soon. So there's a good chance if he's defeated on Saturday? He won't be without gold for long.
Prop Bets O' The Match!
Will This ACTUALLY Main Event? No: -240. Yes: +150.
How Awesome Will the Entrance Be? Bestest EVER: -200. Amazeballs: -100. Total Letdown: +300.
Bullet Club? Sorry Marks -450. Too Sweet! +300.
EXTRA PROPBETS!
What ACTUALLY MAIN EVENTS: Lesnar/Kofi -110. Cena/Ziggler vs. Kane/Barret +100. Owens/Balor +250.
Itami Helps Balor. No -220. Yes +310.
WWE Announces a new signing. No -100. Yes +240.
Alright degenerate gambling, Cheap-Heaters! That wraps up another Over/Under. Remember there are few things MORE �Merican than waking up at 530 in the morning Saturday to watch Pro Wrasslin'. So kick off your 4th of July in the most USA! USA! USA! USA! way possible. Tune into the WWE Network and enjoy the show!!!! Then? BBQ, Beer, and Fireworks!